מעבר מאזניות בסדרות זמן: גילוי סטרקטורות סיבתיות ומערכות רגימיות דרך כיסויי מרקוב

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.05150v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper introduces Regime-aware Constraint-Based and Noise-Based causal discovery with Markov Blankets (RCBNB-MB), a novel causal discovery algorithm for time series that relaxes the common assumption of a single, time-consistent causal structure. Time series are typically observed at discrete time points and often exhibit regime changes that challenge the assumption of a static causal structure, a limitation in many real-world dynamic systems. To address this challenge, RCBNB-MB identifies latent causal regimes, defined as subsets of time points within which a stable causal structure holds. The algorithm follows an iterative strategy that segments the time series into regimes and discovers the causal graph within each regime. By leveragin