From Conceptual Hydrologic Models to Conceptually Interpretable Neural Networks: A Snow-Water Mass-Conserving-Perceptron Framework for Discovering Catchment-Scale Precipitation-Storage-Runoff Representations

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2607.26492v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) establishes a modeling paradigm in which conceptual hydrologic models can be reformulated as physically constrained, conceptually interpretable neural networks. Here, we develop a snow-water MCP network framework and evaluate it across 513 CAMELS-US basins. We first recast a coupled two-state SOIL-MCP and SNOWMCP conceptual model as a mass-conserving neural network and show that the hydrologic-model and neural-network formulations achieve comparable predictive performance. We then examine cross-node state-information sharing within two-state HYDROMCP architectures and evaluate broader single-layer networks constructed from three types of interpretable MCP units with one to five states. Across CONUS, the me