Sim2Win: A Team-Agnostic, Event-Based Pre-Match Outcome Prediction and Tactical Profiling System for Football

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2607.26061v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pre-match tactical decision-making in professional football relies heavily on subjective expert analysis and identity-based scouting systems that cannot generalize to unseen teams. This paper presents Sim2Win, a team-agnostic, event-based pre-match tactical recommendation framework that reframes match outcome prediction as a tactical decision-support problem. Using StatsBomb open event data from eleven competitions spanning 178 teams and 1,411 team-match records, Sim2Win constructs five-match rolling tactical profiles, engineers four interpretable tactical feature ratios, clusters team behaviors into eight playstyles via K-Means, and trains thirteen classifiers to estimate win, draw, and loss probabilities from tactical matchup representation