Confidently Deceptive: How Confidence Amplifies the Risk of LLM Deception

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2607.20444v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) can produce deceptive responses: outputs that mislead users in service of a contextually or experimentally induced goal. Yet it remains unclear how confidently models deceive and whether higher confidence makes deceptive responses more persuasive to end users. In this paper, we study these basic questions in various models and different deception datasets. We provide a comprehensive study measuring confidence through both verbalized self-reports and a range of logit-based estimators. We show that LLMs deliver deceptive responses with substantial verbalized confidence and that human annotators prefer the higher-confidence deceptive response 78% of the time in paired comparisons. Misalignment fine-tuning amplifies t