Probabilistic Physics-Aware Machine Learning Predictions of Electric Truck Energy Consumption with Field Data

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2607.19054v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this work, we incorporate first principle physics into the construction of data-driven methods by considering a model that accounts for the different sources of energy losses during vehicle operations. Our results show that Bayesian linear regression based on this physics-aware model can improve the reliability of the expected energy consumption, as compared with standard linear regression. Further, it is shown that more complex machine learning models such as neural networks and gradient boosted regression trees, based on the same physical model, can further improve the accuracy in energy forecasting and significantly outperform standard versions of the same machine learning models. In addition to point predictions of the energy consumpti