מדידת תכונה מונוטונית של תפקוד זמני באדמישביליות

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2610.05196v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Risk regulation imposes directional constraints on scores; we adopt their strict per-input form -- the score monotone non-decreasing in every exposure input -- as a normative commitment. Deployed pipelines -- monotone hand-crafted aggregates feeding sign-constrained gradient boosting -- already satisfy it by composition, so constrained-versus-unconstrained comparisons price a guarantee the incumbent has for free. We instead hold admissibility fixed on both sides and measure what learning the aggregation is worth. Our instrument is a recurrent network whose state is classical risk statistics (an exponentially weighted moving average and a high-water mark with learned transforms), monotone by construction in every input and per MC-dropout s