חיזוי ותיקון קריסת מיזוג במודלי שפה גדולים

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2610.03199v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models fine-tuned from a shared base can be merged by averaging their task vectors, but some merges collapse far below the base model, and common merge operators give no warning before evaluation. We show that one statistic of the specialists' task vectors both predicts this collapse and calibrates its repair. The power that averaging removes equals the variance of the task vectors across specialists, our measure of interference. Under a working noise model, the disturbance that a merge injects grows with the merge coefficient and with interference, yielding a pre-merge score. In our experiments on twenty-two merge configurations from four model families, only destructive merges exceed a threshold on this score. We find that st