CIDER-FM: דגלי יסוד לחידוש סיבתי מתוך תצורות ניסויים שונות

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.39523v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal foundation models (CFMs) amortise causal inference over priors of synthetic structural causal models (SCMs), predicting the effect of an experiment on a specific variable. However, observational data alone may leave multiple causal models compatible with available evidence, while experimental data with interventions on exactly the variable of interest might be unavailable. This work studies CFMs as a method to combine finite observational and surrogate-interventional datasets in order to predict a target conditional interventional distribution (CID) more accurately than with observational data alone. We first formalise the conceptual benefits of surrogate experiments. Building on this analysis, we introduce \textsc{Foundation Models fo