OverdoseMoE: A Multi-Expert Framework for Opioid Overdose Risk Prediction

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.40108v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Opioid overdose remains a major clinical and public health burden, highlighting the need for scalable approaches to identify patients at high risk. Here, we investigate diagnosis-specific adaptation for 180-day opioid overdose risk prediction from patients' preceding one-year longitudinal ICD histories. We develop OODMAMBA and OODQWEN through continued pretraining on longitudinal diagnostic sequences followed by task-specific fine-tuning. Building on the stronger Qwen-based predictors, we further propose OVERDOSEMOE, a multi-expert framework that integrates models of different scales using complementary expert-weighting strategies. Diagnosis-specific adaptation consistently improved predictive performance over general-purpose language-model b