Predictive Geometry of Hidden Trajectories in Transformers

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.37717v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Decoder-only transformers are trained only through a terminal next-token prediction loss, yet this loss constrains every intermediate hidden state through the fixed downstream computation. We formalize this constraint by studying layerwise loss-to-go functions: the terminal loss obtained by continuing a candidate hidden state through the remaining transformer blocks. Around successful validation trajectories, we show that the local second-order geometry of these functions is governed, up to low-loss residual terms, by a pullback Fisher operator on hidden-state space. Its spectrum identifies output-sensitive directions and approximately prediction-null directions, yielding a local observable subspace of the residual stream. For causal transfor