Learning Continuous Patient Trajectories from Electronic Health Records

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.36144v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electronic health records provide irregular observations of latent patient states that evolve continuously over time. Recent autoregressive models condition on clinical histories to forecast future events as sequences of discrete observations. Conversely, multi-marginal flow matching provides a continuous-time formulation, but using multiple observations to supervise training paths does not itself give the learned dynamics access to preceding patient history. We introduce EHRFlow, a multi-marginal flow-matching framework that conditions on encoded patient history, thereby allowing future dynamics to depend on the patient's prior clinical trajectory. Our proposed framework accommodates irregular observation times and supports forecasting at ar