Scaling Video Generation for Reasoning: At What Cost?

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.36599v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study whether scaling video generation enables models to reason about hidden information from the past frames, and at what computational cost. Our controlled benchmark requires predicting nine prescribed moves of an initially solved 2x2x2 Rubik's Cube from a fixed view of three faces. Correct predictions require inferring how actions change hidden states, and the simulator provides exact ground truth for evaluation. Models learn plausible cube geometry early, while correct sticker configurations require substantially more training. Although validation MSE follows approximate power-law scaling, lower MSE loss does not reliably indicate downstream reasoning capabilities. Smaller autoregressive models achieve higher state accuracy with limi