10,000 חלונות אינם 10,000 מבחנים

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.30721v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sliding-window classifiers are often evaluated on thousands of overlapping test windows, even though neighboring predictions share observations and remain nested within recordings and subjects. Subject-disjoint evaluation prevents one form of leakage but does not make those test windows independent. We present a practical audit that maps three claims - performance on observed recordings, future recordings from observed subjects, and unseen subjects - to explicit aggregation rules and established dependence-robust inference. At 75% overlap, controlled simulations give 16.9% Type-I error for IID observed-record inference and 7.2% for session-centered Bartlett-HAC: a substantial improvement with residual miscalibration. Audits of frozen WISDM an