Certifying Model Upgrades with Slice-Wise Non-Regression and Incumbent Fallback

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2609.13714v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: An updated model can improve an aggregate metric while degrading a slice that matters to a downstream user. We study checkpoint selection subject to non-regression tolerances relative to a retained incumbent. The central distinction is between failing to detect harm and certifying non-inferiority: the former can release harmful updates with high probability when evaluation is noisy. We give a reproducible release procedure that separates candidate search from independent, paired evaluation and returns the exact incumbent when certification fails. Applying established intersection-union and Learn-then-Test principles, we state finite-sample guarantees for one frozen candidate, a finite candidate library, and a prespecified testing order. A joi