Sustained Performance and Energy Accounting for Nonlinear Forecasting Across Classical and Simulated Quantum Models

תקציר מקורי באנגליתarXiv:2510.25183v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Energy-efficient AI should be evaluated across the full application pipeline, not only by lowest error or shortest training time. We study this through nonlinear time-series forecasting using simulated quantum reservoir computing (QRC) as an emerging-computing case study. Our evaluation spans 33 forecasting configurations and 825 completed runs on NARMA-10, NARMA-20, Mackey--Glass, Lorenz-63, and Santa Fe laser data. The core benchmark includes 775 fully instrumented runs across statistical, linear, reservoir, neural, continuous-variable Gaussian QRC, and gate-based statevector QRC models, with 50 additional variational QNN runs extending the trainable-quantum comparison. We measure NRMSE, RMSE, MAE, wall time, inference latency, pe